Asia, America and the Transformation of Geopolitics by William H. Overholt, William H. Overholt

Figures     xi
Tables     xiii
Preface     xv
Acknowledgments     xxiii
Overview     xxv
Introduction: The Inertia of Foreign Policies     1
Cold War Assumptions and Changing Realities     11
The Truman Doctrine in Asia     14
The Asian Economic Miracle and Political Consolidation     16
Post-Cold War Developments and Architectural Changes     27
Regional Trends     33
Outbreaks of Nationalism     33
The New Phase of the Asian Economic Miracle     43
The Geopolitics of the New Geoeconomics     51
Asia's Big Powers: Japan and China     63
Japan     64
The Rise and Fall of Japan's Economic Supremacy in Asia     65
Post-Bust Politics     68
Post-Bust Foreign Policy     76
The Transformation of Military Posture     79
Nationalism and Japan's Diplomatic Isolation     85
Cultural Uniqueness and Foreign Policy     92
What the Future Could Bring     100
China     103
Western Political Images and Chinese Reality     113
Political Experiments     115
Economic Dynamism and PoliticalInfluence     121
China as a Regional Leader     123
The Rise of China and the Rise of Japan     126
The China-Japan Relationship     129
Smaller Places, Decisive Pivots: Taiwan, Korea, Southeast Asia     139
Taiwan     139
Korea     154
Southeast Asia     169
The Aspiring Power and Its Near Abroad: India and South Asia     187
India     187
Pakistan     201
The South Asian Subcontinent     203
Russia and Its Near Abroad     205
Russia: Canada with Testosterone     205
Russia and China     214
Central Asia     218
The United States and the New Asia     223
Adapting to China's Rise     225
Cold War Images and Post-Cold War Policy Anomalies     230
Changing Priorities: The Perils of Dominant Military Priorities     238
Globalization and the Downgrading of Economic Priorities     245
The Costs and Benefits of Promoting Democracy     247
The Need for an Attitude Transplant     261
Scenarios for the Future     263
Business as Usual     265
Cold War II     270
Reversal of Partnerships      271
U.S. Disengagement     278
Revitalized, Peaceful, Balanced Globalization     281
Crisis of Globalization     287
Surprises     290
China Sticks to Globalization Despite Globalization Collapsing Elsewhere     291
Failure of Chinese or Indian Reform     292
Emergence of an Aggressive India     292
Emergence of an Aggressive China     293
Local Wars of Global Consequence     293
Conclusion     295
Bibliography     307
Index     317