From the Publisher

As it emerges from centuries of social, military, and political strife, China—which represents one fifth of the world's population and its third largest economy—is poised to play a major role in global business. But what will that role be? In this book, two experts, who have created business scenarios for some of the world's largest organizations—including Royal Dutch/Shell, AT&T, IBM, and Motorola—present three very informed versions of how China's future may unfold in the coming years and what it means to the rest of the world. These scenarios provide a foundation on which today's companies can build business strategies for years to come.
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Table of Contents

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Preface

We offer this book neither as futurists nor as experts on China, but as practitioners of the art of scenario planning. We cannot predict the future. No one can. Nor can we know enough about China to chart its direction with certainty. But in the face of these two vast imponderables, China and the future, we can apply the art and science of scenario planning to grapple with their combined and compounded uncertainties in a methodical and useful way.

J.O. and P.S.
November 1999