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$17.95

Textbook Details

  • ISBN:
    0385267320
  • ISBN-13:
    9780385267328
  • PUB. DATE:
    April 1996
  • PUBLISHER:
    Crown Publishing Group
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The Art of the Long View by Peter Schwartz, Schwartz

$17.95 List Price
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Customer Reviews

Foundational text on scenario planningby RolfDobelli

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Peter Schwartz evidences charming honesty and humility about his experiences building scenarios. He learned from his failures, so he includes them, as well as his rather impressive successes. Schwartz emphasizes that scenario planning is not the same thing as predicting the future and that complete accuracy is not the goal. Yet, it is still striking how accurately his 1991 scenarios played out. He...

A good read for anyone concerned about their futureby Taunalei

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The essence of this book boils down to the Boy Scout motto, be prepared. The world is an uncertain, constantly shifting place, but that does not mean we cannot plan for what may come with some degree of assurance. Scenario planning, as Schwartz puts it is, "about making choices today with an understanding of how they might turn out" (p.4). By opening our minds up to possible futures through the...

The Art of the Long View Reviewby Anonymous

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Peter Schwartz, the author of the book, is known to be one of the world?s leading futurists and also the President of the Global Business Network. In his book, The Art of the Long View, he discusses scenario building to help forecast the future rather than simply predicting it. He defines the method of scenario as an ?imaginative leap for the future.? He also discusses the scenario process step by...


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Overview -

The Art of the Long View

Product Details

  • Pub. Date: April 1996
  • Publisher: Crown Publishing Group
  • Sales Rank: 180,365

Synopsis

What increasingly affects all of us, whether professional planners or individuals preparing for a better future, is not the tangibles of life—bottom-line numbers, for instance—but the intangibles: our hopes and fears, our beliefs and dreams. Only stories—scenarios—and our ability to visualize different kinds of futures adequately capture these intangibles.

In The Art of the Long View, now for the first time in paperback and with the addition of an all-new User's Guide, Peter Schwartz outlines the "scenaric" approach, giving you the tools for developing a strategic vision within your business.

Schwartz describes the new techniques, originally developed within Royal/Dutch Shell, based on many of his firsthand scenario exercises with the world's leading institutions and companies, including the White House, EPA, BellSouth, PG&E, and the International Stock Exchange.

Biography

Peter Schwartz (San Francisco, California) is Chairman of the Global Business Network and author of the critically and popularly acclaimed book, The Art of the Long View. He is the former head of scenario planning at Royal Dutch/Shell in London and directed the Strategic Environment Center at SRI International.