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(Hardcover - REV)
For more than a decade, Stocks for the Long Run has been the authoritative guide to understanding market forces and building a successful portfolio. In this new fourth edition, Jeremy Siegel updates his argument for long-term stock market investment with: comparisons of ETFs, mutual funds, and index options and futures; evidence that the rapid growth of emerging markets will not only continue but may accelerate; insight into the benefits of fundamental indexation over market value indexation; an updated look at the surprising validity of Calendar Effects; and fresh analysis of the best-performing stocks since the formulation of the S&P 500 Index.
Praise for previous editions of STOCKS FOR THE LONG RUN
"One of the ten best investment books of all time."
--The Washington Post
“A simply great book.”
--Forbes
“One of the top ten business books of the year.”
--BusinessWeek
“Should command a central place on the desk of any 'amateur' investor or beginning professional.”
--Barron's
“Siegel's case for stocks is unbridled and compelling.”
--USA Today
“A clearly written, neatly organized, highly persuasive exposition that lifts the veil of mystery from investing.”
--John C. Bogle, Founder and former Chairman, The Vanguard Group
Jeremy J. Siegel is the Russell E. Palmer Professor of Finance at The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, the academic director of the Securities Industry Institute, and a senior investment strategy advisor to WisdomTree Investments, which creates andmarkets exchange-traded funds.
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Jeremy J. Siegel is the Russell E. Palmer Professor of Finance at The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, the academic director of the Securities Industry Institute, and a senior investment strategy advisor to WisdomTree Investments, which creates and markets exchange-traded funds.
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August 01, 2009: Not to mention the survivor bias of Siegel's dataset, but how can any asset class - stock, commodities, you name it - provide a return on invested capital higher (in the long run) than the long-run growth rate of global GDP? It's mathematically impossible b/c the stock market would consume global GDP. I think this suggests that the long run equity premium is lower than what people have historically assumed - and with that the long-run return of equities as an asset class. Siegel writes a short page or two on the "equity premium puzzle" but mis-understands it. Siegel rode to fame on the same leveraged economy that others have (Greenspan, etc.). He should revisit his work. I recently bought this with the hope of achieving insight, but found none.
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February 18, 2009:
This is Jeremy Siegel's seminal work covering much of the theory behind what drives stock prices. No matter what level of knowledge you might have of the market, whether as a novice investor or as an experienced pro, there's something new you can learn from Stocks for the Long Run.
Siegel combines theory with history and summarizes the results from some very interesting research in Stocks for the Long Run. Each edition of the book brings new data and new analysis to the surface. A very good example of the latter is the fourth edition's introduction of what Siegel calls the "Noisy Market Hypothesis," which previously had only been introduced in an article Siegel contributed to the Wall Street Journal in July 2006.
Meanwhile, Stocks for the Long Run is an essential resource for any investor since it not only provides historic data to use for reference, it also answers questions that might motivate investment decisions, such as "Does the Dogs of the Dow strategy really work?" or "Is there something to the January Effect?"
But none of those things is what the main thrust of the book is about. Siegel's basic premise argues that stocks, held for very long periods of time, deliver superior returns compared to other types of investments. Siegel clearly has the weight of history to back his arguments, and as long as the future continues to resemble the past and people tomorrow continue to act like people a hundred years ago, thirty years ago, ten years ago or yesterday, the outperformance of stocks over other types of investments over long periods of time is likely to continue.
If you're an investor, or are studying to go into the financial industry, or are a long-time financial and investing professional, a copy of Jeremy Siegel's Stocks for the Long Run belongs on your bookshelf. Highly recommended.
-- Ironman at Political Calculations