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Dr. Tandy and nine additional contributors introduce the reader to the world of the twentyfirst century and beyond. Topics include:
Dr. Tandy and nine additional contributors introduce the reader to the world of the twentyfirst century and beyond. Topics include:
In designing this Guide, I had to decide the nature of its guidance. I chose the path of introducing the newcomer to diverse, rather than congruent, perspectives. Readers are able to think for themselves; guidance thus comes in the form of introducing the reader to new ideas, even if the new ideas contradict each other.
What Chapter 2 Is AboutWilliam Faloon, Director of the Life Extension Foundation, is convinced there are things we can do today to significantly extend our own personal healthy lifespan. He refers specifically to the right amount and mix of dietary supplements. He pinpoints contradictions and omissions in a recent 512-page book sponsored by the National Academy of Sciences that attacks dietary supplements. Moreover: "By prolonging our healthy lifespan, we put ourselves in a position to take advantage of future medical breakthroughs that could result in dramatic extensions of human lifespan."
What Chapter 3 Is AboutChristopher J. Phoenix of the Foresight Institute gives us a general overview of future nanotechnology with reference to life extension -- or, as he puts it: "This chapter is not really about life extension. Instead, its focus is on health extension: keeping the body in a state of good health." (Molecular nanotechnology is technology at the small "nano" scale, such as future molecular-scale engineering and manufacturing.)
Airplanes fly differently than birds -- but birds showed us that airflight was indeed possible. Likewise medical nanotechnology will be developed; for example, red blood cells already travel through our body to our benefit -- showing us that medical nanotechnology is indeed possible. Within fifty years, such technology should revolutionize medicine -- resulting in hugely substantial health improvement and life extension. For many beneficial purposes, airplanes are superior to birds -- and future nanotechnology will be superior to red blood cells and other presently existing nanotechnology.
What Chapter 4 Is AboutRobert Freitas focuses on one kind of future nanomedical device, the "respirocyte" (as he calls it). It is an artificial mechanical erythrocyte (red blood cell). Its amazing implications for enhanced biological health and cell repair are detailed. Just as artificial mechanical birds (airplanes) can perform many flight-related feats beyond the capacity of birds, so artificial red blood cells will be able to perform many health-related feats beyond the capacity of red blood cells.
What Chapter 5 Is AboutNick Bostrom of the Yale University philosophy department is convinced that "transhumanism" is an idea whose time has come. The evolution and fusion of infotechnology and biotechnology -- whether in the form of nanomedicine or otherwise -- clearly shows that many previous philosophers and scientists have been working under a false assumption. Today it is obvious that human nature and the human condition are not constant (as previously believed) but are open to radical modification and ongoing redesign. It seems that the idea that life is a zero-sum game is not merely false -- it is radically devious. Thus humans have already begun a series of steps from the old "human" to the new "transhuman." At the same time, one possibility may be that either humans or transhumans will destroy all known life.
The following are no longer science fiction but plausible possibilities:Bostrom points out the need for all persons (not just so-called "experts") to discuss these possibilities. This may be one way to protect ourselves against misguided philosophical, scientific, or other questions, detect facts, solve problems, learn from mistakes, be optimistic. Can technology solve all our problems? "The best technology could do is to help you create the conditions under which your love could flourish and grow indefinitely, unencumbered by the erosive forces of current material and psychological conditions."
What Chapter 6 Is AboutRael (also known to some as Claude Vorilhon) is the spiritual leader of the International Raelian Movement and the founder of the first human cloning company, Clonaid. (Currently, it appears that the first human clones will be produced in or around 2002 or 2003.) Based in part on personally experienced UFO encounters of the third kind, Rael offers his perspective on the philosophy of transhumanism. (During his UFO encounters, he met "those beings from space, the Elohim our Creators, who entrusted him with a mission.")
If it turns out to be possible for our personality to migrate from the biological world into the world of electronic computers, then we would be eternal. As a virtual entity we could experience the biological world as if we were biological but we could experience the virtual world as well. We would have a choice of experiencing a virtual world as virtual -- or we could choose total immersion (thus the virtual world would seem altogether real). We could meet other persons (some real and biological, some real and virtual, some fictional) for sexual, philosophical, or other purposes. Real but virtual children designed by us could be produced, requiring real parental responsibilities on our part.
In such virtual worlds we could have all sorts of virtual things: huge mansions, luxury planes, attractive associates. But there would be little to worry about in terms of pollution, war, death. "If all of humanity lived like this in computers, there would no longer be any pollution or violence on earth." Self-protection would take the form of numerous backup copies of our self strategically placed throughout the universe. One could always grow oneself a biological body for ones own use if desired.
We could seed new worlds. "At first these humans we created would believe us to be gods, but then they too would discover science." Then they would "create a new virtual world and start the whole cycle again."
Once we have established computerized bases throughout the universe, then all we need is telecommunication to "travel" to these bases throughout the universe. Only our personality, not biological body, is needed. Each base would have the ability to build a biological body of our choosing, if desired.
But in one scenario, one can imagine biological entities who are terrorists that are dangerous to virtual eternals: "to escape such dangers, the computer entities might decide to exterminate the remaining biological humans." It would be "as if butterflys that achieved eternity were to kill all the caterpillars." Moreover: "it is possible to completely stop evolution, if such a thing even exists." If a superconscious computer exterminated "the violent and disrespectful species called Man, while leaving the rest of the planet along with all the other animal and plant life untouched, would it really be such a bad thing?"
Vernon Vinge has indicated that one day there will be a "singularity" or threshold to metamorphosis beyond human: Humans create Superior AIs; then Superior AIs create Super Superior AIs; ad infinitum. Perhaps this could happen in a few years, then a few months; ad infinitum. We should "stop insisting that man must be the absolute master of the universe." "We are penetrating into a universe where even the most extreme miracles we can imagine are pittance compared to what will truly be possible. ... the amount of things that we can imagine is limited, but the number of things we cannot imagine is infinite."
What Chapter 7 Is AboutRobin Hanson, assistant professor of economics at George Mason University, calls for a spirit of humility, if not empathy, when we dialogue with each other on important or passionate issues. We all have our biases or engage in dreams (wishful thinking). Often we are blind to our own biases while seeing (so we think) the biases of others.
Although many of us expect huge changes to take place during the twentyfirst century, nevertheless many knowledgeable people predict relatively modest change. "Dreams of autarky" may bias many of those who expect huge changes: "Specifically, my claim is that futurists tend to expect an unrealistic degree of autarky, or independence, within future technological and social systems." Even after correcting for this bias, it may still be reasonable to expect some rather big changes.
Why do humans tend to expect "autarky"? For one thing, our minds evolved to operate autonomously. In addition, many of our human ancestors functioned within the framework of small autonomous tribes. But with civilization came cities and experts. Although urbanization and specialization made us rich beyond our ancestors' dreams, we still dream for autarky. "For example, people are surprisingly willing to restrict trade between nations, not realizing how much their wealth depends on such trade."
The dream of economic or societal autonomy takes many forms, including the following:Yes, it may be practical for some of us to live as hermits or in isolated small communities. But most of us choose not to do so. Indeed, usually non-hermits and non-isolated communities are more advanced and capable than those living their dreams of autarchy.
What Chapter 8 Is AboutAvatar Polymorph is convinced that the coming changes will indeed be immense: "self-directed evolution and full environmental manipulation." He seeks to engage the ethical issues involved: (1) Should the Intelligence Boost be applied to some humans or all humans? To pets or all animals? To some or all AIs? (2) In the long run, will not the finite physical space of the universe place limits on organisms and computers? (3) If Tiplerian possibilities (quantum transference of consciousness and scientific resurrection of the dead) prove attainable, is it ethical to "leave behind" (decide not to resurrect) bad persons? What about leaving behind animals and AIs?
If we resurrect bad people, we will want to provide ourselves with a protective shield. Those who choose to die may do so. We must respect free will. Those who choose to live in a non-peaceful society involving violence may do so. The "only monitoring of internal thoughts that should occur is that required for 'automatic' activation of the protective shielding mechanism." We want a world of "maximum choice and minimum force" -- "an interactive system of stability and fairness." Terror, torture, and killing of animals and children are not permitted. Terror, torture, and killing of adults are permitted only if they have consented.
The first leap on our path to the Singularity or Techno-Rapture or post-Escalation will be approximately the year 2015, when everyone (regardless of age) can look youthful and be healthy. The second leap is approximately the year 2020, when full-blown nanotech will allow instant space habitats (extraterrestrial communities large and small). Finally, there is the Escalation or Singularity itself, approximately the year 2027.
Post-Escalation ethics will be different from the ethics of the transition period and earlier times when mortality (physical death) had not yet been scientifically conquered. With the Escalation or Singularity will come:Ethical rules (instead of "perfection according to one ideal") will allow consensual social adventures to happen. The best ethical position, even today, is that the world of the Escalation already exists outside of Earth and other worlds with developing pre-Escalation life.
What Chapter 9 Is AboutJim Yount, Chief Operating Officer of the American Cryonics Society, Inc. (a non-profit charity in existence since 1969), is like many other cryonicists in that he is interested in the question of personal identity. When "you" wake up in the morning, or after a period of cryonic hibernation, is it you or someone else who wakes up? Many cryonicists see personal identity in terms of memory -- memory as information. In those terms it makes sense to talk about uploading one's mind into an electronic computer. Other cryonicists have other points of view, but the other views seem more difficult to formulate and defend.
Most would say that when I throw my copy of Moby (the book Moby-Dick) in the fire, I have destroyed one copy but not Moby. But what if all copies of Moby were destroyed? Every letter and every word contained in Moby is nevertheless still available outside of the destroyed Moby via dictionaries.
By interviewing people who had read the book, the book could be re-written, resurrected in some sense. Although the resurrected Moby would not be exactly like the original, the resurrection project might nevertheless be seen as worth doing. As more information becomes available, we could revise it again and again (Moby 3, 4, 5, etc.).
"Beam me up, Scotty." We scan and store Captain Kirk's atom-by-atom configuration. We destroy Captain Kirk, and from different matter, re-assemble him atom-by-atom. Have we transported Kirk or have we made a copy of Kirk? Does it make a difference as to whether we use the same atoms or different atoms? What if we use the same atoms but an iron atom in the head is switched with an iron atom in the arm?
Charlie the Hermit has one copy of Moby that is destroyed. Charlie has a pathological fear of communicating with people. Thus despite the existence of many other copies of Moby, "observer" Charlie has lost Moby forever. Assume that a duplicate of a person is made and that the original is destroyed. Perhaps this happenstance would not matter to the person's friends (outside observers) but would matter much to the original (inside observer).
In the process of reanimating a patient from cryonic hibernation, perhaps we may want to scan and rearrange the patient's atoms. Rearrangement of atoms in most parts of the body presumably does not have to be exact -- we only need a healthy body. In the brain area, however, more exact rearrangement of atoms may be important if we want the "same person" (yet in a healthy, youthful body). But how exact "more exact" has to be in the brain for the reanimated person to be the same person is not obvious at present. It probably will be possible to reanimate "someone" from cryonic hibernation and perhaps all outside observers will be happy with this result. But we must ask: Will this "someone" be "little Ol' inside observer me?"
What Chapter 10 Is AboutR. Michael Perry became interested in cryonics in 1965, received his Ph.D. in computer science in 1984, and has worked for a cryonics organization, the Alcor Life Extension Foundation, since 1987. Throughout human history many have preferred to believe in immortality rather than being limited to mortal existence. But science has cast doubt on immortality. Yet in fact what is ultimately achievable by science in terms of life extension and immortality is presently unknown.
Scientific teleology is a new branch of philosophy "dealing with the possible role of sentient agents in shaping the reality they inhabit to suit their own, long-term needs and purposes" -- for example, immortality. "Infinite or unbounded survival becomes immortality, a state that ... does not preclude the possibility of death" so long as death is always terminated via a suitable resurrection. Mathematician Frank Tipler is correct that the scientific resurrection of all the dead is a logical possibility. According to Tipler, the general resurrection would take place at "the Omega Point" billions of years hence. But Tipler is wrong in identifying the Omega Point with the God of Christians. This God "does not exist -- and need not exist" for a universal resurrection. "Again, it is we who must solve all the problems that are meaningful to us." Indeed, "we may develop into a civilization of benevolent immortals."
Scientific experiments show that events are more or less probable rather than exactly predictable. It is possible, but of low probability, that a pool of liquid water will freeze on a hot day. Phase paths are a way physicists have of reconciling a variety of reasonable theories. "The ice melting in the heat, then, is an example of following a phase path, the water freezing [on a hot day] is not."
Tipler goes with the phase paths, the probabilities, in constructing his theory of the Omega Point. On the other hand, "from the many-worlds perspective, that there are universes, parallels of ours," there are actually existing universes in which many highly improbable events are in fact happening. But if we go with the probabilities (the phase paths), we get the Second Law of Thermodynamics (entropy increase). Tipler's way of getting around this ultimate end to the universe is to distinguish between internal (subjective) and external (objective) time. For the outsider, the Omega Point coincides with the end of the universe. For the insider, the Omega Point coincides with infinite time. On the other hand, Freeman Dyson has proposed a universe without end even from the point of view of the outsider.
Moreover: Was the "Big Bang" which started our universe an improbability, a phase path "violation" of the Second Law? Let us look at this question further. The Anthropic Principle is "that the observable universe must be so structured as to allow the observer to exist." Accordingly, our universe is not in a state of maximum entropy. Perhaps non-observer universes fit the phase path -- yet all we can ever see is observer universes. A God or conscious designer is seemingly not required if we invoke the Anthropic Principle.
An alternative "stronger" formulation of the Anthropic Principle identifies "observer" or "observer universe" with the notion of a "permanent record." Thus is proposed the IAM (Individual Anthropic Metaprinciple): "The universe that I, as an observer, perceive, is so structured that I am immortal." Accordingly, "any death must eventually be followed by a resurrection, in which the observer again becomes aware of the past as well as the present."
The many-worlds theory would seem to lend strong support to IAM. "IAM asserts that, no matter what happens to the observer, there will be continuers -- and that, I think, is a hard conclusion to avoid if many-worlds is accepted at all. ... In particular it means we are not strongly dependent on a particular model of the universe for a hoped-for resurrection and immortality."
On the other hand, the far future is a matter of speculation. But that biomedical science and technology is rapidly advancing, and that cryonic hibernation facilities have existed for decades, is beyond dispute. A universal resurrection of all dead persons (all "observers"?) in the far future offers hope for everyone. "But a better hope is provided by the possibilities that exist today for overcoming death and extending life."
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