Preface     iii
Figures     xi
Tables     xiii
Summary     xv
Acknowledgments     xxxv
Abbreviations     xxxvii
Introduction     1
Roadmap to the Book     2
Al-Qaeda's Ideology and Propaganda     7
Ideology     7
Themes     12
Propaganda     14
Strategy, Structure, and Operational Evolution     23
Strategy     23
Structure     26
Al-Qaeda's Structure Before September 11     27
Al-Qaeda's Structure After September 11     29
Operational Evolution     34
Hard Versus Soft Targets     36
Mass-Casualty Versus Smaller, More Frequent Attacks     38
Focus on Economic Impact     39
Efficient Use of Loose Networks     40
New Sanctuaries     41
Unconventional Weapons     44
Manpads Acquisition     48
Recruitment of Western Converts     51
Al-Qaeda's Finances     57
Resource Structures and Networks     57
Future Financial Prospects     59
Al-Qaeda's Operational Planning Cycle     63
Post-9/11 Planning Trends     66
Iraq in al-Qaeda's Strategic Agenda     68
The al-Qaeda Nebula     73
South Asian Clusters     81
Kashmir     81
Laskar-e-Taiba, Jaish-e-Muhammad, and Harakat-ul-Mujahideen     81
Assessment and Future Outlook     90
Pakistan     91
Sipah-i-Sahaba Pakistan and Laskar-e-Jhangvi     91
Assessment and Future Outlook     96
Bangladesh     98
Harakat-ul-Jihad-Islami Bangladesh     98
Assessment and Future Outlook     103
The Caucasus and Central Asia     105
Chechnya     105
Chechen Jihadists (Basayev Faction)     105
Assessment and Future Outlook     111
Uzbekistan     112
The Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan     112
Assessment and Future Outlook     116
The North and East African Clusters     119
North Africa     119
Morocco: The Moroccan Islamic Combatant Group and Salafiya Jihadia     119
GICM and SJ: Assessment and Future Outlook     123
Algeria: The Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat and the Dhamat Houmet Daawa Salafia     125
DHDS: Assessment and Future Outlook      126
Libya: Libyan Islamic Fighting Group     127
LIFG: Assessment and Future Outlook     128
Tunisia: Tunisian Combatant Group     129
TCG: Assessment and Future Outlook     130
East Africa     131
Somalia: Al-Itihaad al-Islami (AIAI) and the "New" Somali Jihadi Network     131
The Somali Jihadist Network: Assessment and Future Outlook     133
The Al-Zarqawi Network: Jordanian and Iraqi Jihadis     135
Jordan     135
Jordanian Network: Assessment and Future Outlook     137
Iraq     138
Ansar al-Islam, al-Tawhid wa'l-Jihad-Tanzim Qai'dat al-Jihad fi Bilad al-Rafidayn, and the Mujahideen Shura Council     138
Jihadist Groups in Iraq: Assessment and Outlook     143
The Southeast Asian Cluster     147
Jemaah Islamiyah and Its Offshoots     147
JI and Local Islamist Groups in Southeast Asia     154
JI: Assessment and Future Outlook     156
Conclusions and Recommendations     159
New Approaches to Combating the Global Jihadist Movement     159
Countering al-Qaeda Through Political Warfare     159
Attack the Ideology     160
Break the Links Between the Global and Local Jihads      161
Deny Sanctuaries     163
Strengthen the Capabilities of Frontline States to Confront Local Jihadist Threats     164
Implications for the U.S. Air Force     166
Bibliography     173